NumQuants

Model profile

Fast-Food Chain Valuation

Value a listed restaurant chain the way restaurant analysts do. Count restaurants by ownership, grow comparable sales by guest traffic and average check, split company-operated sales from franchise royalties and rent, test that franchisees stay profitable, and see what a consumer slowdown, food and wage inflation or refranchising does to the value. Quick service, casual dining and coffee formats; benchmarked on McDonald's.

Decision scope

Questions this model helps you examine

01

What acquisition price, sources and uses, and sponsor economics create a credible transaction case?

02

How do operating projections, cash generation, and debt paydown support the proposed capital structure?

03

How do exit timing, exit multiples, and downside cases affect sponsor returns and value per share?

Model capabilities

What this model includes

The profile below is generated from the same catalogue and workspace definitions used by the application.

Build the case

Inputs and workspaces

  • DocumentsUpload up to ten annual reports, filings, presentations and lists; review what was read, then apply it.
  • Valuation settingsCompany and market data, DCF, cost of capital, comparables and the football field.
  • Forecast assumptionsScenario, growth taper, costs, working capital, assets, leases and financing.
  • Reported financialsRevenue segments, reported years and option tranches.
  • Peers and transactionsComparable companies, sum-of-the-parts businesses and precedent transactions.
  • Market evidenceBroker targets, share price history, addressable markets and the macro outlook.
  • Audit trail and sign-offEvery saved change to the case, and the preparer and reviewer sign-off of each run.

Review the result

Outputs and analysis

  • Average implied value per shareMethods in the average
  • Upside to the average implied valueAgainst the share price
  • DCF value per shareSelected terminal method
  • WACCUsed in the DCF
  • Comparable sales growth, next yearTraffic x average check
  • Restaurants, next year-endCompany-operated and franchised
  • Franchised share of restaurantsNext year
  • System-wide sales, next yearCompany-operated and franchised sales
  • 17 additional metrics in the workspace
  • Financial statements and free cash flowDetailed schedules
  • Valuation, comparables and market evidenceDetailed schedules

Designed for review

Who this model is for

Governed evidence

The review trail stays with the result.

Each completed calculation preserves the model version, saved inputs, reporting-currency snapshot, immutable run, and result fingerprint used for its reports.

Ready to explore the case?

Start with the governed base case, then adapt it to your project.

Start free with this model